基于FMECA和模糊评判的数控机床可靠性分析方法

Reliability analysis method of CNC machine tools on FMECA and fuzzy evaluation

  • 摘要: 提出一种基于模糊评判的故障模式危害度评估方法。用于解决传统风险优先数(RPN)分析时评估结果受评估人员主观因素影响较大、风险因素之间权重无法进行合理分配以及某些情况下难以对评估所得的危害度结果进行排序等问题。通过构建“因素集”与“评价集”确定评估框架,再引入“梯形模糊数”将评估人员的评估结果转化为模糊概率,综合各评估结果并进行“均值化”、“反模糊化”以及“归一化”处理获得“模糊评判矩阵”;利用层次分析法(AHP)构建风险因素的“权重向量”;最终通过获得的“模糊评判矩阵”与“权重向量”计算各故障模式的危害度向量,将危害度向量经过反模糊化处理后进行排序,根据危害度大小提取关键性故障模式,针对这些故障模式进行改进,进而提高系统的可靠性。

     

    Abstract: A fuzzy mode assessment method based on fuzzy evaluation is proposed. It is used to solve the problem that the evaluation results are greatly affected by the subjective factors of the assessors and the weights of the risk factors cannot be reasonably distributed and sometimes it is hard to sort the results of the assessment in traditional risk priority number(RPN). Building the evaluation framework through the "factor set" and "evaluation set". Then use the "trapezoidal fuzzy number" to convert the evaluation result of the evaluator into fuzzy probability. Getting the "fuzzy evaluation matrix" by combining the results of each evaluation and performing "averaged", "anti-fuzzification" and "normalized" processing. Constructing a "weight vector" of risk factors by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The hazard vector of each failure mode is calculated by the "fuzzy evaluation matrix" and "weight vector". Sort the hazard vector after defuzzification. Extract critical failure modes based on the degree of hazard. Improving the system reliability by reducing the incidence of these failure modes.

     

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