基于Bagging集成高斯过程回归模型的刀具寿命预测

Tool life prediction based on Bagging integrated Gaussian process regression model

  • 摘要: 提出了一种集成高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)模型的预测方法,首先将信号进行时域和频域分析,提取信号时频域特征,再结合距离相关系数(distance correlation,DC)进行特征筛选;为了提高模型的预测精度,采用Bagging算法对多个基学习器进行GPR集成,最大限度地降低噪声信号的影响;最后根据贝叶斯后验概率计算得到各子模型的权重,对子模型的输出进行融合,得到全局预测值。进行对比分析实验,验证了该方法的有效性,较之人工神经网络和支持向量机,该方法预测精度更好,具有一定的工程实用意义。

     

    Abstract: This paper proposes a prediction method that integrates Gaussian process regression (GPR) model. First, the signal is analyzed in time and frequency domain, and the signal time-frequency domain is extracted. Then, we combined with distance correlation coefficient (distance correlation, DC) to select features; in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the model, Bagging algorithm is used to integrate multiple base learners GPR to minimize the impact of noise signals; The weight of each sub-model is obtained by the calculation of the posterior probability, and the output of the sub-model is fused to obtain the global prediction value. A comparative analysis experiment is performed to verify the effectiveness of the method. Compared with artificial neural networks and support vector machines, the method has better prediction accuracy and has certain engineering practical significance.

     

/

返回文章
返回