基于CNN-BiLSTM-DAM技术的无人机车间瓶颈单元预测

Research on bottleneck unit prediction in UAV workshop based on CNN-BiLSTM

  • 摘要: 针对无人机离散制造车间瓶颈单元动态漂移明显、传统静态识别方法难以支撑生产预测与调度优化的问题,提出了一种融合动态注意力机制的卷积双向长短期记忆网络(convolutional neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory with dynamic attention mechanism,CNN-BiLSTM-DAM)的瓶颈单元预测方法。首先,结合无人机车间多品种、小批量、工艺流程复杂及扰动频繁等特点,构建由生产负荷、设备利用率、缓冲区队列长度和平均活跃时间组成的多维瓶颈特征体系;其次,利用CNN提取生产单元间局部空间关联特征,采用BiLSTM挖掘瓶颈演化的双向时序依赖,并引入动态注意力机制强化关键时间步特征表达。最后,基于Python离散事件仿真生成车间运行数据,开展模型训练、测试与对比实验。结果表明,CNN-BiLSTM-DAM模型的均方根误差(root mean square error, RMSE)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error, MAE)和决定系数R2分别为0.020 2、0.013 9和0.897 6,均优于CNN-BiLSTM、BiLSTM-DAM和BiLSTM等对比模型,测试集瓶颈单元判别准确率达到76.74%。研究表明,该方法能够有效学习无人机车间瓶颈单元动态漂移规律,可为生产调度优化、资源配置和制造系统智能决策提供支持。

     

    Abstract: To address the problems that bottleneck units in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) discrete manufacturing workshops exhibit significant dynamic migration and that traditional static identification methods are difficult to support production prediction and scheduling optimization, a bottleneck unit prediction method based on Convolutional Neural Network and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory with Dynamic Attention Mechanism (CNN-BiLSTM-DAM) is proposed. First, considering the characteristics of UAV workshops, such as multi-variety and small-batch production, complex process routes, and frequent disturbances, a multidimensional bottleneck feature system composed of production load, equipment utilization, buffer queue length, and average active time is constructed. Second, CNN is used to extract local spatial correlation features among production units, BiLSTM is adopted to capture bidirectional temporal dependencies in bottleneck evolution, and a dynamic attention mechanism is introduced to enhance the representation of key time-step features. Finally, UAV workshop operation data are generated through Python-based discrete event simulation, and model training, testing, and comparative experiments are carried out. The results show that the RMSE (root mean square error), MAE (mean absolute error), and R2 of the CNN-BiLSTM-DAM model are 0.0202, 0.0139, and 0.8976, respectively, outperforming CNN-BiLSTM, BiLSTM-DAM, and BiLSTM models. The bottleneck unit prediction accuracy on the test set reaches 76.74%. The results indicate that the proposed method can effectively learn the dynamic migration pattern of bottleneck units in UAV workshops and provide support for production scheduling optimization, resource allocation, and intelligent decision-making in manufacturing systems.

     

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